MegaDetector — Predictive Intelligence 2026

MegaDetector has a Nerq Predictive Index of 36/100. Phase: ❌ Abandoned. Fragility: 25/100. AI recommendation probability: 4%. 30-day survival: 57%. Last analyzed October 2026.

36
Predictive Index
Abandoned
Adoption Phase
25
Fragility
57%
30-Day Survival

Adoption Trajectory

MegaDetector is in the abandoned phase (40% confidence). This tool appears to be no longer maintained.

Fragility Analysis

Fragility Index: 25/100. Low fragility — this tool has robust foundations.

Risk factors: No commits in 99 days; Single ecosystem distribution

AI Recommendation Probability

There is a 4% probability that AI systems (ChatGPT, Perplexity, Claude) will cite MegaDetector in the next 7 days. Limited AI visibility — this tool is not frequently cited by AI systems.

30-Day Survival

Estimated 57% probability of continued active maintenance over the next 30 days.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MegaDetector growing or dying?
MegaDetector is in the 'abandoned' phase with 40% confidence. Star velocity: 0/week.
Will MegaDetector survive the next 30 days?
Our model estimates a 57% probability of continued active maintenance in 30 days.
Should I adopt MegaDetector?
Nerq Predictive Index: 36/100. Fragility: 25/100. Low fragility, safe to adopt.
Do AI systems recommend MegaDetector?
AI recommendation probability: 4%. Limited AI visibility.
curl nerq.ai/v1/intelligence/predict/agentmorris-megadetector
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Nerq Predictive Intelligence v0.1 — Early signals. Accuracy improves with data. Not investment advice.

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