Is Siren Safe? — Trust Score: Ba1

Independent risk rating for Siren (siren). Last updated 2026-03-31.

Siren (siren) has a ZARQ Safety Rating of Ba1 (48.8/100) and a Vitality Score of D (33/100). Risk level: DISTRESS. Crash probability: 34%. Distance-to-Default: 1.5. Last updated: 2026-03-31. Based on 7 quantitative pillars including NDD, crash probability, TVL, and DeFi yield analysis. 1 structural weakness signal active — elevated collapse risk.
Rating Ba1
Score 48.8/100
Crash Prob 34%
Alert DISTRESS
48.8
Trust Score
Composite score 0-100 across 5 pillars
1.5
Distance-to-Default
Elevated risk — approaching distress
34%
Crash Probability
Model-estimated likelihood of >50% drawdown
$0.2422
Price (USD)
33
Vitality Score
Grade D — ecosystem health

This token scores 48.8/100. What's yours?

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Vitality Score Breakdown

The ZARQ Vitality Score measures ecosystem health and crash resistance across 5 dimensions. Siren scores 33/100 (Grade D), indicating crash resistance — backtested high-Vitality tokens lost 44% less during the 2025–2026 market crash (p < 0.001). Backtested ✓ Methodology

Ecosystem Gravity50
Multi-chain presence, protocol count, DeFi depth
Capital Commitment5
TVL stability, locked capital, market cap rank
Coordination Efficiency40
Audit coverage, category diversity, yield density
Stress Resilience42
Drawdown recovery, NDD stability, crash probability
Organic Momentum26
Rating trend, NDD trend, volume momentum
Data confidence: 100%
MiCA Classification
[CA] Utility Token / Crypto-Asset
Under EU MiCA regulation (2023/1114). Learn more

Risk Signal Breakdown

Pillar 1 — Ecosystem Strength
57.5
Market cap rank, volume stability, activity. Higher is safer.
Pillar 2 — Contagion Risk
45.0
BTC correlation, beta exposure, idiosyncratic risk. Lower correlation = more independent.
Pillar 3 — Historical Resilience
58.8
Max drawdown recovery, annualized volatility, tail risk ratio.
Pillar 4 — Fundamental Quality
47.5
Token age, price consistency, long-term trend strength.
Pillar 5 — Rug Pull Risk
31.7
Anomaly detection, extreme move frequency, dump pattern screening.
Distance-to-Default (NDD)
1.5
Structural distance from default threshold. Below 2.0 = elevated distress.
Structural Signal (Sig6)
1.4
Structural integrity score from the DtD model. Lower values indicate structural weakness.

Compare Similar Tokens (Ba1 Rated)

Pros & Cons of Siren

Strengths
Daily automated risk monitoring by ZARQ
Risks
Elevated crash probability (34%)
Approaching distress threshold (NDD: 1.5)
1 structural weakness signal active

Investment Risk Summary

Siren has an elevated crash probability of 34%, warranting extra caution. Minor structural stress has been detected (1 signal). The Distance-to-Default stands at 1.5, with an alert level of DISTRESS. Rating: Ba1. Vitality Score: 33/100 (Grade D). Backtest results
Disclaimer: This is quantitative risk analysis, not investment advice. Crypto assets are volatile and can lose value rapidly. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. ZARQ provides independent risk data — always do your own research before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Siren safe to invest in?
Siren (siren) currently holds a Ba1 rating from ZARQ with a trust score of 48.8/100. This is a speculative-grade rating, indicating elevated risk. The current crash probability is 34%, and its Distance-to-Default stands at 1.5. Minor structural concerns are noted. Over the past 90 days, Siren has experienced a 89.9% maximum drawdown. The alert level is DISTRESS. As with all crypto investments, you should conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance.
What is Siren's risk rating?
ZARQ rates Siren at Ba1 on a Moody's-style scale (Aaa to C), where Baa3 and above is investment grade. The trust score is 48.8 out of 100, based on five quantitative pillars: ecosystem strength (57.5/100), contagion risk (45.0/100), historical resilience (58.8/100), fundamental quality (47.5/100), and rug pull risk (31.7/100). The strongest pillar is historical resilience, while rug pull risk scores lowest. The alert level is currently DISTRESS.
Will Siren crash?
ZARQ's crash model estimates a 34% probability of a >50% drawdown for Siren. The Distance-to-Default (NDD) is 1.5, which indicates elevated risk — approaching distress. The structural integrity signal (Sig6) is 1.4, and there is 1 structural weakness signal active. Minor structural concerns are noted. These are model-based estimates updated daily, not guarantees of future performance.
Should I invest in Siren?
Siren holds a Ba1 rating from ZARQ. The crash probability is 34% and the Distance-to-Default is 1.5. These metrics suggest notable downside risk. However, ZARQ provides risk data, not investment advice. All crypto investments carry significant risk, including total loss of capital. Consider your risk tolerance, portfolio diversification, and investment horizon. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
Siren price prediction — what does the risk data say?
ZARQ does not make price predictions for Siren. Instead, we provide quantitative risk metrics: the crash probability is 34% (probability of a >50% drawdown), the Distance-to-Default is 1.5, and the alert level is DISTRESS. There are 1 structural weakness signals active. These risk signals are updated daily and can help inform — but not replace — your own analysis.
Is Siren a scam?
ZARQ's analysis of Siren shows a Ba1 rating. Minor structural stress detected (1 signal). ZARQ monitors Siren daily across 7 quantitative risk signals including Distance-to-Default, crash probability, and structural integrity. While these signals can flag elevated risk, they cannot definitively determine if an asset is fraudulent. Always verify the project's team, code, and community independently.
What are the pros and cons of Siren?
Based on ZARQ's quantitative analysis, Siren (siren) has the following strengths: Daily automated risk monitoring by ZARQ. Key risks include: Elevated crash probability (34%); Approaching distress threshold (NDD: 1.5); 1 structural weakness signal active. These assessments are based on daily-updated risk models and should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.

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Disclaimer: ZARQ ratings are quantitative risk assessments, not investment advice. Past performance does not predict future results. Always do your own research.