Is Ultima Safe? — Trust Score: Ba1

Ultima (ultima) currently holds a Ba1 rating from ZARQ with a trust score of 49.2/100. This is a speculative-grade rating, indicating elevated risk. The current crash probability is 18%, and its Distance-to-Default stands at 3.2. No structural weaknesses detected. Over the past 90 days, Ultima has experienced a 49.7% maximum drawdown. The alert level is WATCH. As with all crypto investments, you should conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance.

ZARQ rates Ultima at Ba1 on a Moody's-style scale (Aaa to C), where Baa3 and above is investment grade. The trust score is 49.2 out of 100, based on five quantitative pillars: ecosystem strength (65.0/100), contagion risk (60.0/100), historical resilience (50.0/100), fundamental quality (36.2/100), and rug pull risk (31.7/100). The strongest pillar is ecosystem strength, while rug pull risk scores lowest. The alert level is currently WATCH.

ZARQ's crash model estimates a 18% probability of a >50% drawdown for Ultima. The Distance-to-Default (NDD) is 3.2, which indicates healthy — comfortable distance from default. The structural integrity signal (Sig6) is 4.3, and there are 0 structural weakness signals active. No structural weaknesses detected. These are model-based estimates updated daily, not guarantees of future performance.

Ultima holds a Ba1 rating from ZARQ. The crash probability is 18% and the Distance-to-Default is 3.2. These metrics suggest notable downside risk. However, ZARQ provides risk data, not investment advice. All crypto investments carry significant risk, including total loss of capital. Consider your risk tolerance, portfolio diversification, and investment horizon. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

ZARQ does not make price predictions for Ultima. Instead, we provide quantitative risk metrics: the crash probability is 18% (probability of a >50% drawdown), the Distance-to-Default is 3.2, and the alert level is WATCH. No structural weakness signals are active. These risk signals are updated daily and can help inform — but not replace — your own analysis.

ZARQ's analysis of Ultima shows a Ba1 rating. No structural collapse signals detected. ZARQ monitors Ultima daily across 7 quantitative risk signals including Distance-to-Default, crash probability, and structural integrity. While these signals can flag elevated risk, they cannot definitively determine if an asset is fraudulent. Always verify the project's team, code, and community independently.

Based on ZARQ's quantitative analysis, Ultima (ultima) has the following strengths: Moderate crash probability (18%); Healthy distance from default (NDD: 3.2); No structural collapse signals detected. Key risks include: Crypto assets carry inherent volatility risk. These assessments are based on daily-updated risk models and should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.